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CAPEXI

The Capital-Era Institutional Index

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Research to Application Frameworks

Applied Intelligence Domains

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CAPEXI is an institutional stability and decision-timing framework for universities entering a capital-driven athletics era.

It helps leaders understand when structural change becomes irreversible—and where competitive, financial, and governance risks concentrate.
CAPEXI is used when decisions are consequential, contested, and difficult to unwind.

University of Utah/Otro Cap: Why The Case Matters

The University of Utah is the first institution in collegiate athletics to operationalize a private-equity-backed commercial structure for its athletic enterprise.

What matters about Utah’s model is not the deal size, but how it is governed, how it commercializes athletics, and how easily other institutions could follow the same approach.

Under CAPEXI™, Utah ranks as an early capital-era leader because it demonstrates:

  • a governance structure that can bring in private capital without creating immediate internal conflict or breakdown

  • operational capacity to navigate modern athlete-compensation economics

  • sufficient brand gravity and monetization headroom to justify capital expectations

  • a first-mover advantage that forces national imitation, resistance, or regulation

Utah is not an isolated case. It is a catalyst.

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CAPEXI is

  • A structural index, not a ranking

  • A governance-aware institutional assessment

  • A time-phased stability lens

  • A decision-timing framework

  • A capital-era readiness signal

CAPEXI is Not:

  • A KPI dashboard

  • A recruiting or performance ranking

  • A financial audit

  • A predictive betting model

  • A conventional consulting deliverable

CAPEXI first clarifies the structural context so that analytics, monitoring, or forecasting that follow are grounded and useful.

The Six CAPEXI Pillars

CAPEXI assesses institutions across six interdependent domains that define capital-era viability:

Capitalization Readiness
The institution’s capacity to absorb, deploy, and govern private or hybrid capital without creating long-term structural fragility.

Athlete-Economics Stability
Alignment between compensation regimes, NIL integration, roster economics, culture, and competitive sustainability.

Governance Resilience
Governance Resilience — How well leadership manages both academic and commercial pressures without losing clarity of mission, credibility, or control over key decisions.

Media & Market Monetization Capacity
Scalability of brand, fan yield, media rights, and commercial operations without eroding institutional trust.

Competitive Drift Positioning
Competitive Drift Positioning — Where the program is likely headed competitively over the long term compared with peers, beyond short-term win–loss swings.

Systemic Risk Exposure
Political, legal, donor, reputational, and macroeconomic risks that compound over time.

Each pillar is evaluated independently and as part of a coherent institutional system.

CAPEXI Outputs

CAPEXI delivers executive-level outputs designed to inform decisions that are high-stakes, politically sensitive, and difficult to reverse:

  • CAPEXI Rating & Tier Placement — structural classification under capital-era conditions

  • Stability Posture — institutional durability assessment

  • CAPEXI Signature — a one-sentence institutional identity descriptor

  • Drift Outlook — 5–10 year directional trajectory

  • Scenario Envelope — structural bounds rather than point predictions

  • Stability Map — a visual layout of where the major risks and opportunities sit across the institution

  • Readiness Index — capacity to adopt or scale capital structures responsibly

Numeric pillar subscores, sensitivity analyses, and comparative datasets are provided through private engagements.

CAPEXI identifies institutional positioning across the next cycle of collegiate athletics:

  • Institutions most likely to benefit from private capital

  • Institutions structurally vulnerable under capital-era athlete economics

  • Institutions with latent potential awaiting activation

Public materials present category-level insight.
Full tier maps and institution-specific classifications are available to qualifying entities.

CAPEXI is designed for senior leaders responsible for long-horizon institutional outcomes, including:

  • University Presidents and Chancellors

  • Athletic Directors and Chief Financial Officers

  • Conference Commissioners

  • Strategic Donors and Capital Partners

  • Governance and public-sector stakeholders

CAPEXI is used where decisions are consequential, contested, and difficult to unwind.

Who CAPEXI is For

CAPEXI™ is developed and delivered by Forlytica-Applied, the applied-intelligence and commercialization arm of the Forlytica ecosystem.

Forlytica-Applied translates research-grade inference architectures into institution-ready assessment and decision frameworks while preserving strict protection of proprietary methodologies.

CAPEXI reflects this lineage without exposing underlying systems.

Forlytica-Applied CAPEXI

Full CAPEXI institutional assessments, Tier Maps, Case Files, and monitoring engagements are available to qualifying entities.

Initial engagements focus on structural orientation and decision timing—not instrumentation.

Tier Map: 5–7 Year Structural Outlook

Disclaimer

CAPEXI provides institutional intelligence and interpretive assessment. It does not constitute legal, financial, or investment advice.

A division of the Forlytica Research Group

For foundational research briefs, scientific insights, and the core architecture behind applied intelligence, visit Forlytica.com.